Pre-tourney Rankings
Stephen F. Austin
Southland
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.3#83
Expected Predictive Rating+11.3#41
Pace62.0#310
Improvement+3.1#55

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#60
Improvement+4.4#18

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#126
Improvement-1.2#239
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round19.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen5.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.8% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2013 276   @ Texas St. W 64-57 82%     1 - 0 +3.5 -2.3 +6.3
  Nov 15, 2013 38   @ Texas L 62-72 24%     1 - 1 +3.6 -0.3 +3.5
  Nov 21, 2013 232   @ Marshall W 80-73 OT 77%     2 - 1 +5.6 +3.6 +1.6
  Nov 23, 2013 251   @ East Tennessee St. L 58-66 78%     2 - 2 -10.0 -12.7 +2.1
  Nov 26, 2013 319   Samford W 98-78 96%     3 - 2 +6.1 +16.0 -9.9
  Nov 29, 2013 279   @ UNC Wilmington W 60-55 83%     4 - 2 +1.2 -7.6 +9.1
  Dec 01, 2013 270   @ High Point W 71-68 81%     5 - 2 -0.1 +4.6 -4.3
  Dec 06, 2013 138   Towson W 79-69 75%     6 - 2 +9.2 +3.3 +6.0
  Dec 07, 2013 262   James Madison W 70-57 91%     7 - 2 +4.6 +2.7 +3.4
  Dec 15, 2013 237   @ North Texas W 87-53 77%     8 - 2 +32.5 +16.0 +16.7
  Dec 30, 2013 213   Cal St. Northridge W 74-67 87%     9 - 2 +1.3 -3.5 +4.9
  Jan 02, 2014 342   Lamar W 85-65 97%     10 - 2 1 - 0 +2.8 -0.2 +1.8
  Jan 04, 2014 212   Sam Houston St. W 73-56 87%     11 - 2 2 - 0 +11.3 +5.4 +8.2
  Jan 09, 2014 344   @ Houston Baptist W 77-50 94%     12 - 2 3 - 0 +15.1 -6.1 +19.0
  Jan 11, 2014 240   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 80-70 77%     13 - 2 4 - 0 +8.4 +14.8 -5.2
  Jan 16, 2014 188   @ Northwestern St. W 74-58 68%     14 - 2 5 - 0 +17.4 -1.5 +18.9
  Jan 23, 2014 202   @ Oral Roberts W 72-69 71%     15 - 2 6 - 0 +3.5 +4.5 -0.7
  Jan 25, 2014 335   @ Central Arkansas W 66-49 93%     16 - 2 7 - 0 +6.5 -6.2 +14.0
  Jan 30, 2014 346   Abilene Christian W 64-48 98%     17 - 2 8 - 0 -2.7 -17.6 +15.2
  Feb 01, 2014 273   Incarnate Word W 76-74 91%     18 - 2 9 - 0 -6.8 +3.0 -9.6
  Feb 06, 2014 306   Nicholls St. W 93-64 95%     19 - 2 10 - 0 +16.6 +12.7 +3.4
  Feb 08, 2014 315   McNeese St. W 74-54 95%     20 - 2 11 - 0 +7.1 +1.3 +7.6
  Feb 13, 2014 342   @ Lamar W 78-69 94%     21 - 2 12 - 0 -2.6 +14.0 -15.1
  Feb 15, 2014 212   @ Sam Houston St. W 67-60 73%     22 - 2 13 - 0 +6.9 +1.7 +6.1
  Feb 22, 2014 188   Northwestern St. W 70-68 84%     23 - 2 14 - 0 -2.2 -6.1 +4.0
  Feb 27, 2014 325   @ New Orleans W 103-63 92%     24 - 2 15 - 0 +31.0 +24.2 +6.1
  Mar 01, 2014 316   @ SE Louisiana W 75-62 89%     25 - 2 16 - 0 +5.6 +5.2 +1.6
  Mar 06, 2014 202   Oral Roberts W 83-72 85%     26 - 2 17 - 0 +5.9 +17.1 -9.5
  Mar 08, 2014 335   Central Arkansas W 85-61 97%     27 - 2 18 - 0 +7.9 +6.4 +1.9
  Mar 14, 2014 188   Northwestern St. W 85-78 77%     28 - 2 +5.6 +8.9 -3.2
  Mar 15, 2014 212   Sam Houston St. W 68-49 81%     29 - 2 +16.1 +6.3 +13.8
Projected Record 29.0 - 2.0 18.0 - 0.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 100.0    100.0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.8 0.2 30.4 63.5 5.9
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.8 0.2 30.4 63.5 5.9